Climate crisis, energy shortage and nuclear phase-out are some of the challenges we face and it is clear we need to transform our energy systems. We also know that it will be anything but easy – and costly.
The future of energy supply – wind power and solar cells, hydrogen and other sustainable energy sources – are beacons of hope, but the changeover needs ideas and a lot of time.
In the past decades, the permanent availability of cheap energy was taken for granted and was hardly ever questioned. Climate change, on the one hand, and the planned phase-out of nuclear energy on the other, have triggered discussions about a transformation of our energy system, but the necessary measures have so far been implemented only half-heartedly.
In 2022, this situation changed dramatically. In Europe in particular – and thus also in Switzerland – there was a massive shortage of available energy. As a result of the Russia-Ukraine war, gas supplies from Russia, which previously covered more than 30% of European demand, dried up almost completely.
At the same time, only about 50% of France’s nuclear power plants are currently online, as overhaul work fell behind schedule during the pandemic and, in addition, corrosion problems arose on pipelines, leading to more protracted investigations.
Practical answers
The resulting energy shortage drove up prices massively, especially for gas and electricity. For a short time, electricity prices on the futures markets for the first quarter of 2023 of more than € 1,000 per MWh were asked for – a ten-fold increase within one year!
To bring supply and demand back into some kind of balance, the focus in the short term is on efficiency and energy savings measures. In the medium and long term, the aim is to make energy available from other sources, which must be renewable and have low CO2 emissions.
Materials science and technology development, as conducted at Empa, forms the basis, on which practical answers to these challenges can be developed. A profound transformation of our energy system within a few months or even years is hardly possible, even if currently many of us would like this to happen.
The construction of high-alpine, solar power plants and the associated adjustments to the power grid, the raising of dams of storage power plants and the switch to renewably produced hydrogen for industrial high-temperature applications involve enormous investments and cannot be implemented overnight.
The quickest and easiest way – at least in theory – is to implement behavioural changes; these are often purely a question of will. Lowering the room temperature in winter is the most obvious example, saving around 6-7% energy – per degree.
Artificial intelligence
Voluntarily constraining oneself is difficult, but there are certainly ways to significantly reduce energy demand without noticeable losses in comfort or performance. Digitisation, in particular, offers entirely new possibilities here.
Felix Bünning and Benjamin Huber from Empa’s Urban Energy Systems laboratory have developed a data-based control algorithm for regulating room temperature and put it through its paces in NEST.
Using a temperature sensor, a room-specific computer model can be developed within two weeks, which is then used in combination with weather forecasts to control heating and cooling. This is done completely automatically via machine learning, without the need to know the physical parameters of a building.
This technology can thus be implemented easily, quickly, and without technical modifications in numerous buildings. Compared to conventional heating control, energy consumption can be reduced by 20-30%, as a large-scale trial in one of Empa’s office buildings in Dübendorf in winter 2021/22 showed.
Quite a few other solutions are ready and waiting; their potential and feasibility have been demonstrated in the laboratory and demonstration projects in recent years.
However, they have not yet found their way onto the market – simply because they did not pay off at the previous process for energy and CO2. The NEST unit, Solar Fitness and Wellness, for example, is equipped with an innovative energy concept that can reduce the energy consumption of saunas and steam baths by a factor of three; and, in combination with storage technologies, it can be powered almost exclusively with solar energy.
Only now, when hotels are suddenly confronted with ten-fold higher electricity prices, is interest in this technology suddenly skyrocketing, and chances are good that implementation with partners from the industry will become realistic.
Smart options
The same applies to the widespread use of smart meters. Although the technology is well known and appropriate devices are available, Switzerland is taking its time with implementation – in another 4 years, 80% of all electricity meters are to be replaced by smart meters.
In the current situation of uncertain power supply, the widespread installation of such smart meters would be a prerequisite to be able to control demand in a targeted manner in the event of a shortage by centrally controlling appliances whose operation is not time-critical, such as heating or boilers.
So there are many solutions ready and waiting to be implemented, paving the way for a climate-neutral, reliable and affordable energy supply. However, further efforts are needed to successfully follow the path to the end. The focus is on solutions that allow energy to be stored for various periods and transported over long distances.
New concepts for batteries based on non-critical raw materials and recycling concepts for high-performance batteries that are crucial for mobility are the focus of various research projects at Empa.
Complete energy self-sufficiency in Switzerland makes neither economic nor technical sense. In addition to the domestic expansion of renewable energies, ways must therefore be found to import renewable energy, especially in winter.
It is doubtful whether this will be possible from nearby countries, as our neighbours’ energy systems are likely to develop in a very similar way to ours.
In other places in the world, however, the potential for renewable energy production is huge, for instance in the desert regions of North Africa, West Asia or in Patagonia and Australia. Transporting it over such long distances in the form of electricity is not feasible, though.
The electricity generated from wind or the sun must first be converted into chemical energy carriers such as hydrogen, ammonia or synthetic hydrocarbons. This makes energy storable and transportable at the same time.
New catalysts and catalytic processes are essential to make the chemical conversion processes as efficient as possible and to produce energy carriers that provide the greatest possible benefit, for example as a substitute for (fossil) kerosene.
Thanks to its expertise in materials science and technology development, Empa will continue to develop new solutions that will make it possible to put our energy system on a sustainable footing. However, we as a society must muster the necessary will and the corresponding seriousness to successfully master this challenging path together.